PAST PERFORMANCE IS NO GUARANTEE OF FUTURE RESULTS:

Shot:

Chaser: Billie Eilish gets permanent restraining order against man who repeatedly turned up to her home.

Metro News, June 19th, 2020.

EZRA KLEIN AND MUZZLE VELOCITY:

He didn’t seem overwhelmed at all, and that was at night, on a gruelingly noisy plane, grilled by reporters after an evening event where, as WaPo puts it, “Trump tries humor, gets some silence, at black-tie dinner with ‘people I hate.'”

He seemed to be up for all of it. But I’m pretty sure Klein wants to think otherwise: “This is a presidency that is, by any measure, failing. Trump is unpopular; his brutality and his tariffs have turned immigration and affordability, once among of his strongest issues, into liabilities. Trump’s opposition is increasingly united and mobilized; Democrats are besting Republicans in elections all across the country and disciplined, brave, beautiful protest movements have emerged in the cities ICE has sought to occupy.”

By any measure? That can’t be true. He’s at least succeeding by that measure of “muzzle velocity” and the measure of courage and optimism in facing a hostile press. Ironically, Klein is exhibiting the same kind of optimism, energy, and boasting to which Trump is so deeply committed.

One of them’s right and it’s not Young Ezra. Who’s not so young as he was when that name was coined, but the, none of us is.

I ALREADY LOVE HER, YOU DON’T HAVE TO KEEP SELLING ME:

IT’S AN INSURRECTION, AND AN INSURGENCY, AND IT’S FOREIGN-FUNDED AND ORGANIZED:

FINGERS CROSSED: ‘We’re not in a bubble yet’ because only 3 out of 4 conditions are met, top economist says. Cue the OpenAI IPO.

Owen Lamont, a portfolio manager at Acadian Asset Management and a former University of Chicago finance professor, said that while the market looks and feels frothy, we are not currently in an AI bubble. As he talked to Fortune from his office in Boston, the S&P 500 breached 7,000 for the first time, but he wasn’t dissuaded. To Lamont, the tell-tale sign of a bubble is equity issuance, when corporate executives, the ultimate insiders, rush to sell overvalued stock to the public.

“Part of the reason I think there’s not a bubble is I don’t see the smart money as acting like there’s a bubble,” he told Fortune. “Maybe I should say there’s not a bubble yet.”

In his view, the smoking gun for a bubble forming would be companies going public and selling equity. That would be a play for the dumb money, he added.

Lamont’s bubble-detection framework relies on “Four Horsemen”: overvaluation, bubble beliefs, issuance, and inflows. While he conceded that three of these are present in the market of early 2026—valuations are high, retail investors are piling in, and sentiment is frothy—the absence of issuance disqualifies the current cycle from bubble status.

In the meantime, enjoy the ride.

THE MISSING MEN OF UNC. UNC-Chapel Hill is now slightly more than 60/40 women to men. This is more lopsided in terms of sex balance than most big state schools because NC’s big engineering school is at NC State, but this is just another wake-up call that there is a mismatch between what our culture (likely) needs and what our institutions are designed to deliver. (I say “likely” because you can credibly argue that men are less likely to need a college degree because of the nature of the jobs they may select.)

RESIST: LAPD Says It Will Not Enforce Gavin Newsom’s Mask Ban For ICE Agents.

LAPD Chief Jim McDonnell said the policy makes little sense from a safety standpoint, ABC7 Los Angeles reported. He called the law a poor public policy decision that lacked proper consideration.

We are in line with our federal partners on everything except immigration enforcement,” McDonnell said. “What we’ve seen since June here in Los Angeles and seen across the country, we’re as frustrated as everybody else — about the way that’s being done.”

McDonnell told reporters at a news conference that one armed agency confronting another over a misdemeanor creates unnecessary conflict, according to the Los Angeles Daily News. He said his department’s job is to de-escalate situations rather than escalate them.

Federal agents shouldn’t be masked — but there’s really no alternative when the Left has turned to doxxing and violence.

CHANGE:

Make the Western Hemisphere Great Again.

Tangentially related in Venezuela: That Must Have Been One Heck of a Phone Call. “The actions that have followed in the few days since sort of give you an idea of exactly how that phone call went down. I’m guessing Trump may have reminded her that there could easily be a ‘second wave.'”

KRUISER’S MORNING BRIEFING: Dems Are So Lunatic That Conservatives Root for the Feds Now. “I live right next to downtown, and while I was out for a long walk on Friday afternoon, a lot of the protesters were walking through my neighborhood, on their way back to wherever it is they go to feast on bile and bitterness. They were dragging their signs along with them, looking like they were returning from a funeral. They were all beyond miserable.”

MINNESOTA FRAUD OLDER THAN THOUGHT: An FBI raid on a fraudulently run child care center in 2015 suggests things have been rotten in Minnesota than previously thought. Sen. Joni Ernst (R-Iowa) has reforms to get a handle on all of the fraud.

THE GOVERNMENT AS CURRENTLY CONSTITUTED IS JUST A MONEY LAUNDRY FOR POLITICAL TYPES:

COME SEE THE BIGOTRY INHERENT IN THE LEFTISM:

When they don’t have facts on their side, they make it about identity.

CHANGE: Denmark unveils legal reform to allow the worst foreign criminals to be deported.

Denmark unveiled a legal reform on Friday allowing foreigners who have been sentenced to at least one year of unconditional imprisonment for serious crimes to be deported.

Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen said the measure would affect any foreign national convicted of serious offences, such as aggravated assault and rape, though she acknowledged the idea — part of a series of legal changes — could conflict with European human rights conventions.

Everybody in Europe seems to have human rights, except for Europeans.

THE LEFT’S WORST NIGHTMARE, A FLOURISHING AMERICA: