CARL CANNON: Why RealClearPolitics Didn’t Fall for the Fake Polls.
The first episode involved an obscure outfit calling itself “Median Strategies,” which claimed that its August poll showed Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass with a double-digit lead over challenger Nithya Raman. There was no such survey. It was a sham carried out by a 21-year-old recent college graduate named Rahil Prakash. He briefly copped to the scam, then disappeared without revealing where he lived, who he really was, and what he hoped to gain.
This week, a much more ambitious con job came to light. “Wedgewood Polling” admitted it was a bogus operation hours before it was about to be exposed. Its proprietors promptly claimed (as did Rahil Prakash) that it was all a social science experiment designed to alert gullible news organizations, news consumers, and polling aggregators to the dangers out there.
“The polling industry needs major reform,” Wedgewood posted on X. “Having previously worked in the polling and research sector, we watched as the public’s trust in polling eroded alongside a rise in unverifiable, low-quality methodology. We wanted to test a simple hypothesis: How easy is it for an entirely fabricated polling firm to gain traction, be taken seriously and expose how little scrutinization exists in media and public commentary?”
The statement continued: “Despite having no history, formal credentials, or real data behind the vast majority of our releases, Wedgewood Polling was added to major polling aggregators, including The New York Times, FiftyPlusOne, and VoteHub, and repeatedly treated as a legitimate data source.”
Well, not everyone treated Wedgewood as legit. RealClearPolitics, the pioneer poll aggregator, never included these bogus polls – either in the RCP Poll Average or in the voluminous number of surveys cited daily on our polling pages.
Read the whole thing.